AT 966

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DATACART

27 JUNE 2025 ASIAN TRADER 15

wo major trends are shaping the UK’s

tobacco and nicotine retail landscape –

and both present challenges for law

enforcement and retailers alike.

According to the latest KPMG report com­

missioned by Philip Morris International, illicit

cigarette consumption in the UK remained stub­

bornly high in 2024, with 5.94 billion cigarettes

consumed through illegal channels. While this

marks a marginal improvement on the 2023

figure of 6.71 billion, the proportion of total ciga­

rette consumption that was illicit barely budged,

at 25.6 per cent. This means more than one in

four cigarettes smoked in the UK was illegal.

The figures show a notable 14 per cent drop in

counterfeit cigarettes, helping bring down total

counterfeit and contraband (C&C) volumes by

0.8 billion. But despite this, the sustained high

share of illicit consumption — up from 17.1 per

cent in 2020 — suggests ongoing systemic issues.

Counterfeit brands continue to dominate, with

3.41 billion fake sticks recorded in 2024, more

than five times the volume of any single branded

C&C variant.

Meanwhile, new data from retail analytics firm

Talysis highlights the immediate impact of the

UK’s disposable vape ban. In the first week alone

following the 1 June enforcement, vape sales

plummeted by over £5 million, falling from an

average of £23 million to £17.8 million.

The ban has hit some regions harder

than others. Scotland recorded the steep­

est fall, down 36 per cent, followed by

Northern Ireland (-31 per cent) and the

North East (-27 per cent). Even the low­

est drops – in Wales and Yorkshire – still

exceeded 20 per cent.

As retailers navigate these dual

disruptions, questions remain around

enforcement, compliance, and how the

market will rebalance in the coming

months.

Illicit cigarette consumption

holds steady

Vape sales tumble

post-disposables ban

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